Pete Roussel's college football - week 5 picks
Posted by: Pete Roussel on Thursday September 26, 2013
Ole Miss at Alabama
Look at the common factors in Nick Saban’s last seven losses. Ole Miss has protected the football, converted 51% of third-down opportunities, scored touchdown on 78% of red zone opportunities, wants to run the ball at least 60% of the time, while Alabama has struggled badly on third-down and didn’t run the ball effectively against Virginia Tech or Colorado State. A year ago, the difference in the game was Ole Miss’ inability to punt the ball effectively, a couple of poor decisions by an inexperienced Bo Wallace, and an ineffective running game that averaged only 2.3 yards per game. This is a better Ole Miss team, while the Crimson Tide is not playing to their usual standard. Hugh Freeze has developed the intangibles to give his team a chance to win on a Saturday night in Bryant-Denny Stadium. I like the Rebels 38-35 in overtime.
Rebels win 38-35
Arizona at Washington
Wake up on the Huskies. Steve Sarkisian’s team has a sense of urgency. This is a huge game for Washington, which is playing well on both sides of the ball. Don’t forget about the injuries and defections from the Arizona roster this summer.
Huskies win 45-24
Texas A&M at Arkansas
If Arkansas quarterback Brandon Allen were healthy and able to play, the Razorbacks would have a chance to upset A&M. Apparently, he’s not, so I’ll take the Aggies, but make a note….stranger things have happened. This isn't an easy travel for the Aggies. If they are not ready to play, Arkansas has the ability to reduce possessions and make this one interesting.
Aggies win 52-38
LSU at Georgia
Mike Bobo vs. John Chavis. Cam Cameron vs. Todd Grantham. Les Miles vs. Mark Richt. Great talent all over the field. Mark Richt has called for a “red out” inside Sanford Stadium. This is so pure… SEC football at its best. Expect this one to be decided in the last 4 minutes. Grab a beer and don’t miss game.
Tigers win 45-38
Read: Chris Vannini's week 5 picks